Eduvest – Journal of Universal Studies

Volume 3 Number 4, April, 2023

p- ISSN 2775-3735- e-ISSN 2775-3727

 

 

THE IMPACT OF POLITICAL MARKETING MIX ON REPEATED VOTING DECISION IN INDONESIAN GENERAL ELECTIONS: A CASE STUDY OF FEB UNIVERSITAS RIAU STUDENTS

 

 

 

Alvi Furwanti Alwie1, Rendra Wasnury2, Jushermi3, Nia Anggraini4, Monica Agnes Br Harianja5, Dedi Hidayat6

Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Riau, Indonesia12356

STIE Persada Bunda, Indonesia4

Email: [email protected], [email protected],       [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected]

 

ABSTRACT

 

Politics is the basic policy of the state administration that is currently and will apply, which is sourced from the values ​​that apply in society to achieve state goals. The purpose of government-run politics is to achieve the welfare of the general public. Elections are a form of political participation as an embodiment of people's sovereignty, because at the time of voting, the people become the most decisive party for the political process in an area by voting directly. This study aims to determine whether the influence of the Political Marketing Mix on the decision to choose repeat voters in General Elections in Indonesia (a case study on FEB students, Universitas Riau). This study applied quantitative research method. The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression with the test equipment using Warp PLS 7.0. The number of samples to be taken as many as 145 respondents with purposive sampling method. The data was collected by distributing online questionnaires. Based on the results of the study, it was found that: 1) Political products have a significant effect on voting decisions. 2) Political Promotion has a significant effect on the Decision to Choose. 3) Political Price has a significant effect on the Decision to Choose. 4) Political distribution has a significant effect on voting decisions.

 

KEYWORDS

political marketing mix; voting decisions; repeat voter

 

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International

 

                               

 

 

INTRODUCTION

Politics is the basic policy of administering the state which is currently and will apply, which originates from the values ​​prevailing in society to achieve state goals (Pramono, 2018; Qurbani, 2012). The purpose of government-run politics is to achieve the welfare of the general public. Presidential elections are a form of political participation as a manifestation of people's sovereignty, because at the time of voting, the people become the most decisive party to the political process in an area by voting directly (Filan & Firdaus, 2022).

Citizens' political awareness is an important factor in political participation, meaning that it is related to knowledge and awareness of rights and obligations related to the community environment and political activities being the measure and level of someone involved in the process of political participation (Averus & Alfina, 2020; Nanda, 2017). The experience of general elections in Indonesia which have taken place over several decades shows that many voters do not vote (Ta’dung, 2017). As a phenomenon described above, if someone has high political awareness and trust in the government, then political participation tends to be active, whereas if awareness and trust are very small, then political participation becomes passive and apathetic (Saputra, 2017).

Data from We The Youth shows that in the 2014 election there were 24.89 percent of voters who decided to abstain (Shofi et al., 2020). In the 2019 election, the General Election Commission recorded the number of permanent voters under the age of 20 as many as 17.5 million people, and voters aged 21 to 30 as many as 42.84 million people. In total, the number of voters aged less than 20 years and 21-30 years reached 60.34 million people. The total number of permanent voters for the 2019 election is 192 million. This means that 31.4 percent of voters in the 2019 election are young people.

 

Table 1. Number of Voters by Age in the 2019 Election

No

Age

Total

1.

17-20

17,5 million people

2.

20-30

42,84 million people

3.

30 (above)

132,46 million people

Total                                                                                    192,8 million people

Source: Tempo.co

 

The Alvara Research Center survey also explains why young people are the biggest contributors to abstentions (Silalahi, 2019). First, it could be because they are not very active in following political news. Second, they tend to be apathetic towards political processes. Third, their knowledge related to politics is not too great. More specifically, based on data from the Riau Provincial Election Commission in 2019, it shows the high number of abstentions in Riau. This can be seen from the data on voters in the DPT who do not exercise their right to vote. The following details the data that the author presents.

Table 2. Data on the number of voters and abstentions from the 2019 Riau Province election

No

Descriptions

Details

A

Voter Data

Voter

Voting Rights

Abstentions

Percentage

1

Pekanbaru City

611.093

482.116

128.977

21%

2

Kampar

510.475

412.067

98.408

19%

3

Meranti Island

147.517

106.181

41.336

28%

4

Indragiri Hulu

301.342

239.190

62.152

21%

5

Bengkalis

412.262

321.644

90.618

22%

6

Indragiri Hilir

491.150

347.179

143.971

29%

7

Pelalawan

226.417

183.598

42.819

19%

8

Rokan Hulu

339.328

276.455

62.873

19%

9

Rokan Hilir

417.327

318.531

98.796

24%

10

Siak

297.161

233.809

63.352

21%

11

Kuantan Singingi

232.018

190.142

41.876

18%

12

Kota Dumai

199.963

160.168

39.345

20%

Total

4.186.053

3.271.530

914.523

22%

Source: KPU Riau Province, 2019

 

The high potential of voters among young people, especially repeat voters with the dark side of indifference to elections, creates a big challenge and homework for political parties and candidates to convince and get young people to wake up to vote. This makes the candidates must have a pattern to market themselves. Moreover, this study aims to determine whether the influence of the Political Marketing Mix on the decision to choose repeat voters in General Elections in Indonesia (a case study on FEB students, Universitas Riau).

 

 

RESEARCH METHOD

Research sites

This quantitative research was conducted at the Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Riau.

Population and Sample

In this study, the population was all active FEB students at the Universitas Riau. The sample in this study used a nonprobability sampling method with a purposive sampling method, namely sampling based on certain criteria.

Determination of the number of Representative samples depends on the number. The number of indicators is multiplied by 5 to 10 (Ferdinand, 2014). So the number of representative samples in this study is: 29x5=145. The criteria set by the researcher in the sampling study are:

1)  Active student of FEB, Universitas Riau

2)  Have been a repeat voter (using their right to vote at least 2 times to elect both the President and Vice President, DPR/DPRD, Regent and/or Mayor election.

 

Data analysis

The data analysis used is Multiple Regression Analysis using WarpPLS version 7.0 software. PLS analysis has two models, namely the outer model and the inner model. The outer model (measurement model) specifies the relationship between variables and their indicators. Meanwhile, the inner model (structural model) specifies the relationship between latent variables, namely between exogenous/independent variables and endogenous/ dependent variables (Ghozali, 2008).

 

RESULT AND DISCUSSION

Data Quality Test (Outer Model) Convergent Validity Test

Table 3. Data Quality Test (Outer Model) Convergent Validity Test

Variable

Indicator

Loading

Decision

AVE

Product

PDP1

0,753

Valid

0,617

PDP2

0,811

Valid

PDP3

0,758

Valid

PDP4

0,754

Valid

PDP5

0,755

Valid

PDP6

0,872

Valid

PDP7

0,853

Valid

PDP8

0,785

Valid

PDP9

0,713

Valid

Promotion

PMP1

0,781

Valid

0,568

PMP2

0,79

Valid

PMP3

0,806

Valid

PMP4

0,812

Valid

PMP5

0,762

Valid

PMP6

0,752

Valid

PMP7

0,749

Valid

PMP8

0,749

Valid

PMP9

0,723

Valid

PMP10

0,707

Valid

PMP11

0,746

Valid

PMP12

0,734

Valid

PMP13

0,708

Valid

 

PMP14

0,718

Valid

Value

HP1

0,788

Valid

0,655

HP2

0,873

Valid

 

HP3

0,763

Valid

Distribution

DP1

0,744

Valid

0,702

DP2

0,877

Valid

 

DP3

0,886

Valid

Decision

KM1

0,782

Valid

0,714

KM2

0,77

Valid

KM3

0,912

Valid

 

KM4

0,907

Valid

Source: Research Processed Results, 2021

 

In the table above it can be seen the value of the loading indicator or loading factor construct of each variable. It is known that all indicators have a loading factor value above 0.7. Then also obtained an average variance extracted (AVE) value above 0.50 which means that all the reflective indicators above have a correlation with the construct variable. This explains that all indicators in the variable construct meet the convergent validity requirements.

 

Discriminant Validity Test

 

Table 4. Results of Discriminant Cross Loading Validity Test of Research Variables

Indicator

Product

Promotion

Value

Distribution

Decision

PDP1

0,753

0,097

-0,064

0,059

0,041

PDP2

0,811

-0,104

0,083

-0,172

0,201

PDP3

0,758

0,075

0,075

0,012

-0,068

PDP4

0,754

-0,048

0,115

0,078

-0,25

PDP5

0,755

-0,007

-0,105

-0,13

0,227

PDP6

0,872

-0,06

-0,117

0,01

-0,019

PDP7

0,853

-0,029

0,059

0,02

-0,08

PDP8

0,785

0,055

-0,088

0,031

0,045

PDP9

0,713

0,042

0,051

0,105

-0,106

PMP1

0,045

0,781

0,242

0,149

-0,432

PMP2

0,026

0,79

0,314

0,125

-0,396

PMP3

-0,03

0,806

0,279

0,032

-0,257

PMP4

-0,117

0,812

0,303

0,049

-0,209

PMP5

0,114

0,762

-0,032

-0,006

0,094

PMP6

0,184

0,752

-0,008

-0,145

-0,05

PMP7

0,014

0,749

-0,017

-0,059

-0,024

PMP8

-0,016

0,749

-0,038

-0,1

-0,026

PMP9

0,022

0,723

0,095

-0,173

0,214

PMP10

-0,176

0,707

0,158

0,171

-0,271

PMP11

0,016

0,746

-0,404

-0,032

0,376

PMP12

-0,067

0,734

-0,353

-0,014

0,375

PMP13

-0,024

0,708

-0,389

-0,004

0,468

PMP14

0,005

0,718

-0,251

-0,008

0,253

HGP1

0,154

-0,062

0,788

-0,144

-0,143

HGP2

0,009

0,097

0,873

0,069

-0,055

HGP3

-0,168

-0,047

0,763

0,07

0,211

DBP1

0,137

0,028

-0,099

0,744

0,02

DBP2

-0,087

-0,028

-0,014

0,877

0,041

DBP3

-0,029

0,004

0,096

0,886

-0,057

KM1

0,103

0,058

-0,172

0,161

0,782

KM2

-0,077

0,195

0,082

0,189

0,77

KM3

-0,014

-0,125

0,038

-0,15

0,912

KM4

-0,009

-0,09

0,04

-0,149

0,907

Source: Research Processed Results, 2021

 

In the table above it can be seen that the correlation value of all indicators from each construct has a high correlation with the construct variable. This explains that all indicators in each construct variable meet the discriminant validity requirements.

 

Table 5. Validity Test of AVE Square Roots

Variable

Product

Promotion

Value

Distribution

Decision

Product

0,785

0,412

0,481

0,459

0,602

Promotion

0,412

0,753

0,482

0,484

0,586

Value

0,481

0,482

0,809

0,483

0,64

Distribution

0,459

0,484

0,483

0,838

0,585

Decision

0,602

0,586

0,64

0,585

0,845

Source: Research Processed Results, 2021

 

In the table above it can be seen that the square root value of AVE along the diagonal line has a greater correlation between one construct and another so it can be concluded that the construct has a good level of validity.

 

Reliability Test

 

Table 6. Cronbach's Alpha Results

 

Cronbach's Alpha

Description

Product

0,922

Reliable

Promotion

0,941

Reliable

Value

0,735

Reliable

Distribution

0,785

Reliable

Decision

0,864

Reliable

Source: Research Processed Results, 2021

 

In the table above it can be seen that all the values ​​of Cronbach's alpha construct variables are above 0.70. This explains that all construct variables meet the reliability requirements.

 

Table 7. Composite Reliability Results

 

Composite Reliability

Criteria

Description

Product

0,935

> 0.70

Reliable

Promotion

0,948

> 0.70

Reliable

Value

0,85

> 0.70

Reliable

Distribution

0,875

> 0.70

Reliable

Decision

0,909

> 0.70

Reliable

Source: Research Processed Results, 2021

 

In the table above it can be seen that all values ​​of the composite reliability of the construct variables of the research variables are above 0.70. This explains that all construct variables meet the reliability requirements.

 

Structural Model Testing (Inner Model)

 

Table 8. R – Square results

Model structure

R-squared Coefficients

Adjusted R-squared Coefficients

Decision

0.632

0.622

Source: Research Processed Results, 2021

 

In the table above, it can be obtained that the value of Adjusted R Square for the decision-making variable is 0.622. This means that 62.2% of the voting decision variable is influenced by product, promotion, price and political distribution. While the remaining 37.8% is influenced by other variables not included in this study.

 

Average Average path coefficient (APC)=0.247, P<0.001 Average R-squared (ARS)=0.632, P<0.001 Average adjusted R-squared (AARS)=0.622, P<0.001

block VIF (AVIF)=1.691, acceptable if <= 5, ideally <= 3.3

Average full collinearity VIF (AFVIF)=1.860, acceptable if <= 5, ideally <= 3.3

Tenenhaus GoF (GoF)=0.642, small >= 0.1, medium

>= 0.25, large >= 0.36

Sympson's paradox ratio (SPR)=1.000, acceptable if

>= 0.7, ideally = 1

R-squared contribution ratio (RSCR)=1.000, acceptable if >= 0.9, ideally = 1

Statistical suppression ratio (SSR)=1.000, acceptable if >= 0.7

Nonlinear bivariate causality direction ratio (NLBCDR)=1.000, acceptable if >= 0.7


Table 9. Value of Fit Indicators and Quality Indexes
Source: Research Processed Results, 2021

 

 

1)    Average path coefficient (APC)

The average path coefficient (APC) value was obtained of 0.247 with a p-value <0.001, so it can be interpreted that the research model has good fit.

2)    Average R-squared (ARS)

The average R-squared (ARS) value is 0.632 with a p-value <0.001, so it can be interpreted that the research model has a good fit.

3)    Average adjusted R-squared (AARS)

An average adjusted R-squared (AARS) value of 0.622 was obtained with a p-value <0.001, this could mean that the researcher's model had good fit.

4)    Average block VIF (AVIF) & Average full collinearity VIF (AFVIF)

The average variance inflation factor (AVIF) value is 1.691 and the average full collinearity variance inflation factor (AFVIF) is 1.860 <3.3, which means that there is no multicollinearity problem between indicators and between exogenous variables.

5)    Tenenhaus GoF (GoF)

The tenenhaus goodness of fit value was obtained of 0.642 > 0.36 which indicates that the predictive power of the model is large or the fit model is very good.

6)    Sympson's paradox ratio (SPR), R-squared contribution ratio (RSCR), Statistical suppression ratio (SSR), Nonlinear bivariate causality direction ratio (NLBCDR)

To evaluate the quality indexes, the Symson's paradox ratio (SPR) index is 1,000 > 0.70 (ideal), the R-squared contribution ratio (RSCR) is 1,000 > 0.90 (ideal), the statistical suppression ratio (SSR) is 1,000 > 0.70 (ideal) and the nonlinear bivariate causality direction ratio (NLBCDR) value is 1,000 > 0.70 which means that the indices have no causality problem in the model.

 

Table 10. Performance Importance Analysis (PIA)

No

Statement

Means

Loading Factor

Quadrant

1

Political candidate platform

3,993

0,753

II

2

Past records

4,31

0,811

I

3

Formal education

3,979

0,758

II

4

Certain age considerations

3,71

0,754

II

5

Lead experience

4,2

0,755

II

6

Good governance

4,214

0,872

I

7

Good morals

4,428

0,853

I

8

The level of ideological similarity

3,786

0,785

I

9

Political promise

3,703

0,713

II

10

Advertisement via tv

3,034

0,781

III

11

Advertising via radio

2,931

0,79

IV

12

Ads through newspapers

3,034

0,806

IV

13

Advertising through magazines

3,014

0,812

IV

14

Publication via television

3,545

0,762

III

15

Advertising via radio

3,331

0,752

III

16

Ads through newspapers

3,283

0,749

III

17

Advertising through magazines

3,248

0,749

III

18

Debate events

3,662

0,723

II

19

Celebrity

2,69

0,707

III

20

Publication via

3,283

0,746

III

Facebook

21

Publication via Twitter

3,345

0,734

III

22

Publication via

3,469

0,708

III

Youtube

23

Publication via Blog

3,352

0,718

III

24

Economy Price

4,021

0,788

I

25

Psychological price/protection value

3,614

0,873

IV

26

National image

4,4

0,763

II

27

Live meeting

3,655

0,744

II

28

Indirect interaction

3,4

0,877

IV

29

Interaction by other parties

3,614

0,886

IV

30

Attention

3,738

0,782

II

31

Interest

3,428

0,77

III

32

Intension of choosing a

4,338

0,912

I

candidate

33

The act of choosing a candidate

4,407

0,907

I

Average

3,64118

0,78464

 

Source: Research Processed Results, 2021

 

After testing the hypothesis, the following table summarizes the hypotheses that have been tested:

 

Table 11. Hypothesis test results

No

Influence

Path Coefficients

P

Decision

values

H1

Product Decision

0,294

<0,001

Significant

H2

Promotion Decision

0,176

0,014

Significant

H3

Value Decision

0,308

<0,001

Significant

H4

Distribution Decision

0,208

0,005

Significant

Source: Research Processed Results, 2021

 

H1: A path coefficients value of 0.294 is obtained, which means that for every 1 unit increase in perceptions of political products, the decision to vote will increase by 0.294 and vice versa assuming other variables are constant. Then a p value <0.001 is obtained, which means that political products have a significant effect on voting decisions.

H2: A path coefficient value of 0.176 is obtained, which means that every 1 unit increase in perceptions of political promotion will increase the decision to vote by 0.176 and vice versa assuming other variables are constant. Then obtained a p value of 0.014 <0.05 which means that political promotion has a significant effect on the decision to vote.

H3: A path coefficients value of 0.308 is obtained, which means that for every 1 unit increase in perceptions of political prices, then it will increase the decision to choose by 0.308 and vice versa assuming other variables remain. Then a p value <0.001 is obtained, which means that political prices have a significant effect on the decision to vote.

H4: A path coefficients value of 0.208 is obtained, which means that each increase in perception of political distribution by 1 unit will increase the decision to vote by 0.208 and vice versa assuming other variables are constant. Then a p value of 0.005 <0.05 is obtained, which means that political distribution has a significant effect on voting decisions.

 

 

CONCLUSION

Based on the result of study, the conclusion are; (1) political products have a significant effect on the decision to elect repeat voters in general elections in Indonesia, a case study on FEB students at the Universitas Riau, (2) political promotion has a significant effect on the decision to elect repeat voters in general elections in Indonesia, a case study of FEB students at the Universitas Riau, (3) political prices have a significant effect on the decision to vote for recurring voters in general elections in Indonesia, a case study on FEB students at the Universitas Riau, and (4) political distribution has a significant effect on the decision to elect repeat voters in general elections in Indonesia, a case study on FEB students at the Universitas Riau.

Moreover, this research is expected to be a reference and basis for further research. For those who want to do further research, they can add other variables that can influence the decision to choose, such as social media, promotion mix, and others so that the results obtained are even better. Because in this study, 62.2% of the voting decision variables were influenced by product, promotion, price and political distribution. While the remaining 37.8% is influenced by other variables not included in this study.

 

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