How to cite:
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David
Aritonang. (2022). Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial
Independence in the Framework of A Policy Strategy for Increasing
Regional Original Income. Journal Eduvest. Vol 2(4): 777-796
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Eduvest Journal of Universal Studies
Volume 2 Number 4, April, 2022
p- ISSN 2775-3735- e-ISSN 2775-3727
ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING REGIONAL
FINANCIAL INDEPENDENCE IN THE FRAMEWORK OF A
POLICY STRATEGY FOR INCREASING REGIONAL
ORIGINAL INCOME
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
PKN STAN, Pusat Penelitian, Badan Keahlian, Setjen DPR RI, Badan Pusat
Statistik, Bengkulu, Indonesia
Email: vissiadewih@pknstan.ac.id, [email protected].id,
ferdinand.david@bps.go.id
ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT
Received:
March, 26
th
2022
Revised:
April, 16
th
2022
Approved:
April, 18
th
2022
The regional autonomy policy, which is accompanied by the
provision of balancing funds, has a goal, one of which is to have
an impact on the financial independence of regency/municipal
governments in Indonesia. The balancing funds provided
should have an effect or have an impact on regional financial
independence. This research is directed to see to what extent
the relationship of fiscal decentralization can provide an
increase in regional financial independence. Based on the
results of the panel data regression analysis of the district/city
data clusters, the results showed various results. In clusters I
and IV, it shows that there is a positive and significant effect of
the provision of balancing funds on regional financial
independence. Meanwhile, based on the results of panel
regression analysis in regencies/cities in cluster II, it shows that
the provision of balancing funds has no significant effect on
regional financial independence. The districts/cities in cluster
III show that the balancing fund variable has a negative and
significant influence on the financial independence of local
governments. This implies that the provision of balancing
funds for districts/cities in cluster III actually makes local
governments dependent on transfer funds from the central
government.
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 778
KEYWORDS
Fiscal Decentralization, Balance Fund, Regional
Independence
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons
Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International
INTRODUCTION
Law (UU) No. 22 of 1999 concerning Regional Government became the forerunner
and became a new milestone for the era of decentralized governance in Indonesia. If explored
more comprehensively philosophically, Law no. 22 of 1999 is diversity in unity. There are four
considerations that provide a philosophical foundation in Law no. 22 of 1999, but one of the
important points in the consideration is the paradigm of granting flexibility to the Regions to
carry out Regional Autonomy. The law also provides for the transfer of governmental authority
and the implementation of the duties and responsibilities of several central government
responsibilities to local governments. The delegation of authority is of course accompanied by
the provision of fiscal decentralization funds as stated in Law no. 33 of 2004(Siswanto, 2013).
Further developments Law no. 22 of 1999 concerning Regional Government Law no. 25
of 1999 concerning Fiscal Balance was revised several times, until in the end it became Law
no. 23 of 2014 concerning Regional Government and Law no. 33 of 2004 concerning Fiscal
Balance is the legal basis for the implementation of fiscal autonomy and decentralization in
Indonesia (Halim, 2004). The impact of the implementation of fiscal decentralization is marked
by the process of transferring authority from the central government to local governments. The
process of delegation of authority is accompanied by greater financial transfer assistance to
regional governments in the form of balancing funds (Otsuka & Kalirajan, 2012).
The balancing fund itself according to Law no. 33 of 2004 concerning Financial Balance,
consisting of 3 parts of balancing funds, namely profit-sharing funds (DBH), general allocation
funds (DAU) and special allocation funds (DAK). The distribution of the balancing funds is in
accordance with the formulations and calculations that have been determined by the central
government. For example, the total amount of DAU is set to be at least 26% of the Net Domestic
Revenue set in the APBN (Widarjono, 2013). The amount of DAU received by each region is
calculated independently by taking into account and taking into account the population, area,
construction cost index, regional gross domestic product (GRDP) per capita and the Human
Development Index (IPM). DBH is given to regions that have natural resources as a
consequence of having to get a share of the revenue in these natural resources. Meanwhile,
DAK is allocated specifically to certain regions to fund special activities which are regional
affairs(Asyifa, n.d.).
The provision of fiscal transfer funds, both DAU, DBH, DAK in principle is to reduce
the fiscal gap between the central government and regional governments (vertical fiscal
imbalance) and between regions (horizontal fiscal imbalance) in the administration of
government. This inequality can be measured by the deviation between the regional gross
domestic product, both nominal and per capita, between regions compared to the national
average as well as between regions or regions. Of course, the smaller the difference or gap, the
more successful the implementation of fiscal decentralization (Syahril, Parinsi, & Togas, 2021)
However, in the development of fiscal decentralization and regional autonomy, several
obstacles have emerged. One of them is the dependence of local governments on fiscal
decentralization funds provided by the central government to local governments. The provision
of fiscal decentralization funds does not provide a stimulus for local governments to increase
local revenue (PAD). This is because local governments have a proportionate dependence on
decentralized funds as the main source of revenue from the Regional Budget (APBD). The
dependence of local governments on the value of central government transfers shows that the
ability of the regions to finance their budgets is relatively small. The impact is that the regional
government demands a larger transfer from the central government than exploring the source
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of its original regional revenue (PAD). This is indicated by the low contribution of local
government PAD in financing regional expenditures which is no more than 20 percent (Waluyo,
2007).
Whereas in the era of regional autonomy it was implemented with the ultimate goal of
increasing community welfare. The process of achieving community welfare improvement
requires a source of regional income and regional development. Regional taxes and regional
levies are one of the sources of regional revenue (Mustanir, Yasin, Irwan, & Rusdi, 2019). The
subsequent impact is the obligation for regions to take care of their own households and
continue to strive to strengthen their independence through efforts to maximize the collection
of regional taxes and regional levies. Law No. 28 of 2009 has provided policy points regarding
regional taxes and regional levies. The regulated provisions include the mechanism for the open
list to become a close list, the expansion of the authority of taxation and retribution by
expanding the regional tax base and improving the system management of regional taxes and
regional levies through a policy of sharing the results of provincial taxes to regencies/cities.
Related to tax collection, one of the indicators to measure the amount of tax revenue is
to use the tax ratio (tax ratio). The tax ratio is the ratio between the amount of tax revenue and
the income of an economy. In the context of regional finance, the tax ratio is the ratio between
the regional taxes of the region's economy and the Regional Gross Regional Income (GRDP).
Therefore, by knowing the tax ratio of a region, we can understand the amount of regional
revenue as 2019 data shows the tax ratio in the aggregate of provinces throughout Indonesia.
Based on the figure, it can be seen that the Province that has the highest tax ratio is Bali Province
with a ratio of 8.8%. The high tax ratio in the Province of Bali is due to the very high local tax
of the Province of Bali (Fafurida & Pratiwi, 2017). The average tax ratio across Indonesia is
2.9%. The existing condition is that most of the provinces in Indonesia are still below the
national average tax ratio throughout Indonesia, including the provinces of East Java, Central
Java to Papua and West Papua (ANTIKA, 2018).
Another factor in regional financial independence is the allocation of balancing funds
that pay more attention to the expenditure aspect but is not supported by the accuracy of
calculating the ability of the region to increase its PAD, so that local governments do not
optimize regional capabilities and demand a larger allocation from the central government. This
has become a phenomenon of the flypaper effect, where local governments allocate more
regional spending than the source of balancing funds, (Syukridan and Halim, 2004);
(Maimunah, 2006). In line with the results of research (Mulya Rahmatul, 2016) which states
that the impact of the flypaper effect can cause fiscal gaps, not optimal potential for extracting
PAD, dependence on the central government, making regional finance less independent.
The role of the funds allocated by the central government is not optimal in increasing
regional capacity, especially regional financial independence in increasing their fiscal capacity.
Regional financial independence, which is indicated by the size of the Regional Original
Income (PAD) compared to income from other sources, such as central government assistance
and regional loans, makes PAD an important contribution. PAD plays an important role in the
contribution of local government expenditure financing (Berwulo, Luigi LD et al., 2017) that
the effectiveness of regional finance is shown by the increase in regional revenues in the city
of Jayapura, although the regional independence is still small, this is due to the large number of
financing that must be allocated . In addition, PAD has a contribution to the Regional Revenue
and Expenditure Budget (APBD) which is allocated to finance the administration of
administrative processes, government services and regional development. Optimizing PAD
requires a strategy and exploring the potential and competence of regional financial managers.
(Nilawati, 2019). Regional taxes, regional levies, the results of separated state wealth
management and other legitimate regional revenues can increase PAD in the province of
Central Java (Nuzulistyan, Supriyanto, & Paramita, 2017).
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 780
Based on the explanation above, previous empirical research has used panel regression
analysis on districts/cities without any attempt to use research data clusters. This research is
important because it is based on the results of studies by various academics and the Ministry of
Finance that reformulation of balancing funds is needed, especially in relation to this research
focusing on regional financial independence. This study tries to cluster districts/cities as the
research locus. The use of cluster data in this study is based on the results of a study conducted
by the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance with the Australian Indonesia Partnership for
Decentralization (AIPD) which explains that one of the criticisms of the balancing fund policy
so far is "one size fits all" which means that the fund formula the current balance tends to apply
equally between city and district governments. The implementation of this policy should be
improved with a solution of regional grouping (clustering) to avoid the provision of balancing
funds that are not in accordance with the characteristics of city and district governments.
The balancing funds provided should have an effect or have an impact on regional
financial independence, such as previous research conducted by Fafurida and Pratiwi (2017);
Simanjuntak and Mukhlis (2016) and Suprantiningrum (2015), Yannis and Zoi (2015). Within
the framework of this understanding, this research is directed to see as far as where the
relationship of fiscal decentralization can provide an increase in regional financial
independence. Based on the background explanation, this research is focused on examining
what factors encourage regional financial independence (2) How does the provision of
balancing funds affect regional financial independence (3) What policies can encourage
regional financial independence.
RESEARCH METHOD
The scope of the research includes all districts and cities in Indonesia that receive
balancing funds in the form of General Allocation Funds (DAU), Special Allocation Funds
(DAK), Revenue Sharing Funds (DBH). The total number of regencies/cities that became the
unit of analysis in this study were 508 regencies, except for the urban regencies in the DKI
Jakarta province by dividing the regencies/cities into 4 research data clusters. The variables
used in this study include the dependent variable and the independent variable. The dependent
variable is the ratio of regional financial independence, while the independent variables include
tax growth, regional retribution growth, GRDP growth, central government transfers, direct
spending, and indirect spending.
The analytical method in this research is divided into two, namely descriptive analysis
method and inferential analysis method. The second method of analysis is the method of
inferential analysis. The use of the inferential analysis method has the aim of making
conclusions from a problem based on statistical rules in proving the truth of a hypothesis. This
study uses panel data regression analysis as a method of inference analysis. The use of panel
data analysis in this study aims to determine the factors that influence regional financial
independence as the dependent variable. The independent variables in this study include tax
growth, regional retribution growth, GRDP growth, central government transfers, direct
spending, and indirect spending.
RESULT AND DISCUSSION
The central government distributes balancing funds to every district/city in Indonesia
to reduce the fiscal gap between regions. The balancing funds include general allocation funds,
special allocation funds, and special autonomy funds. These funds become one of the drivers
of the economy in each district/city. This study divides each district into 4 clusters based on the
criteria of each region's financial independence ratio. In addition to balancing funds, there are
several other indicators to determine the financial independence of each region. These
indicators are direct spending, indirect spending, GRDP growth, taxes and levies. The research
period for 7 years from 2013 to 2019 consisted of 415 districts/cities in Indonesia. In this study,
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not all districts/cities were included in the research object because of the unavailability of
research data in these districts/cities.
The quadrant formation method refers to clusters based on data on average balancing
funds and PAD for each district/city during 2013 to 2019. The general picture per quadrant is a
picture of balancing funds and PAD from each district/city that shows a general picture of
regional financial independence. So the quadrant method will map each cluster into 4 quadrants.
The quadrant with the following details:
a) Quadrant I: regencies/cities that have the characteristics of having large/high balancing
funds but have low PAD.
b) Quadrant II: ie districts/cities that have the characteristics of having large/high balancing
funds with high/large PAD.
c) Quadrant III: ie districts/cities that have the characteristics of having low balancing funds
but having low PAD.
d) Quadrant IV: ie districts/cities that have the characteristics of having low balancing funds
and high/large PAD.
1. Overview of Financial Independence in Regencies/Cities in Cluster I Period 2013-2020
Cluster I are districts/cities that have additional funds other than the provision of
balancing funds by the central government to local governments, for example districts/cities in
Papua/West Papua Province, Aceh which receive funds in the framework of Special Autonomy
and the Province of the Special Region of Yogyakarta which receives privileged funds. . The
number of regencies/cities in cluster 1 is 47. Regencies/cities included in cluster 1 are
regencies/cities that receive additional funds in addition to balancing funds. In cluster 1 for 7
years from 2013 to 2019, the average balancing fund provided by the central government was
1.13 trillion rupiah with a standard deviation of 1.65 trillion rupiah. The largest balancing fund
value was 9.62 trillion rupiahs given to the Asmat district in 2014, while the minimum value
was 100 billion rupiahs given to the city of Jayapura in 2016.
In 2013-2019 the average value of PAD generated was 93.17 billion rupiah. PAD is a
source of revenue in a certain area which is collected based on certain laws. The standard
deviation value of district/city PAD in cluster 1 is 122.19 billion rupiah. The maximum PAD
value in cluster 1 is 867 billion, namely in Sleman district in 2019, while the smallest PAD
value is Puncak Jaya district in 2013.
GRDP growth is an economic indicator to calculate the amount of economic activity in
a region. Positive and increasing economic growth indicates that economic activity in the region
is running smoothly and well. On average from 2013 to 2019, economic growth in cluster 1
was 5.13 percent with a standard deviation of 2.65 percent. The highest economic growth was
in Kulon Progo district in 2019, while the lowest economic growth was in Lhokseumawe City
in 2015.
Taxes and levies are a source of income in an area. Through funds collected from taxes
and levies, regions can improve development and infrastructure. During 2013 to 2019, the
average amount of taxes and levies collected reached 34.25 billion and 12.1 billion with a
standard deviation of 86.13 billion and 13.54 billion, respectively. The largest taxes collected
in districts/cities located in cluster 1 reached 650 billion, namely Sleman district in 2019, while
Statistik Deskriptif Variabel Dana Perimbangan, PAD, Pertumbuhan PDRB
Tahun 2013-2019 di Kluster 1
Indikator
Dana Perimbangan
PAD
Pertumbuhan
PDRB
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
1
Rata-Rata
1,131,880,173,945
93,178,864,825
5.13
2
Standar
deviasi
1,648,140,453,915
122,196,133,619
2.65
3
Nilai
Maksimum
9,620,279,299,740
867,643,469,527
13.49
4
Nilai
Minimum
100,241,952,200
3,509,940,885
-20.34
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 782
the smallest was in Supiori district in 2013. The largest levy was in Aceh Tamiang district in
2014, while the smallest was 6. 04 million in Mamberamo Raya district in 2019.
Direct spending and indirect spending are government spending that aims as a stimulus
in moving the economy. From 2013 to 2019, the average direct and indirect expenditure of
districts/cities in cluster 1 was 566 billion and 600 billion with standard deviations of 236.23
billion and 277.91 billion, respectively. The largest direct expenditure was in Bintuni Bay in
2019, while the smallest was 135.55 billion in the city of Sabang in 2013. The largest indirect
expenditure was in Sleman district in 2016 of 1.56 trillion, while the smallest was in
Mamberamo Raya district in 2013.
The formation of quadrant in cluster 1 is based on data on average balancing funds and
PAD for each district/city during 2013 to 2019. Quadrant I in the figure indicates districts/cities
that have a high average balancing fund, but low PAD. The districts included in quadrant 1 are
Jayawijaya district, Yahukimo district, Boven Digul district, and Teluk
Bintuni district. The four regencies are located in Papua and West Papua. Furthermore,
in quadrant II are districts/cities that have high PAD and high balancing funds. Several
regencies/cities that fall into this quadrant are the City of Yogyakarta, Merauke Regency, and
Aceh Tamiang Regency. Quadrant III is the quadrant for districts/cities that have a low average
balancing fund and PAD. Several districts that fall into quadrant III are Gayo Lues and
Simeulue districts. Whereas in quadrant IV, the districts/cities that are included are
districts/cities that have low balancing funds, but have high PAD. Several regencies/cities that
fall into quadrant IV are West Aceh, Southwest Aceh and Central Aceh districts.
Quadrant III is the quadrant for districts/cities that have a low average balancing fund
and PAD. Several districts that fall into quadrant III are Gayo Lues and Simeulue districts.
Whereas in quadrant IV, the districts/cities that are included are districts/cities that have low
balancing funds, but have high PAD. Several regencies/cities that fall into quadrant IV are West
Aceh, Southwest Aceh and Central Aceh districts.
Quadrant Based on PAD and District/City Balancing Funds in Cluster 1 2013 2019
Statistik Deskriptif Variabel Pajak, Retribusi, Belanja Langsung dan Belanja Tidak Langsung
Tahun 2013-2019 di Kluster 1
No.
Indikator
Pajak
Retribusi
Belanja Langsung
Belanja Tidak Langsung
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
1
Rata-Rata
34,251,011,114
12,100,085,481
566,209,385,262
600,446,660,700
2
Standar deviasi
86,138,410,862
13,548,729,606
236,235,838,379
277,915,787,846
3
Nilai Maksimum
650,084,598,498
71,737,834,712
1,697,549,559,042
1,567,946,127,944
4
Nilai Minimum
42,630,640
6,040,000
135,556,540,511
77,239,982,651
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Eduvest Journal of Universal Studies
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783 http://eduvest.greenvest.co.id
2. Overview of Financial Independence in Regencies/Cities in Cluster II Period 2013-2020
Districts/cities classified into cluster II are districts/cities that have a ratio of PAD to
balancing funds of more than 50 percent. In cluster II, there are 23 districts/cities. During the
period 2013 to 2019, the average balancing fund sent by the central government to
districts/cities in cluster II was 1.2 trillion annually with a standard deviation of 530.72 billion
rupiah. The largest balancing fund value was given to the city of Bandung in 2016, while the
smallest balancing fund value was given to the city of Kendari in 2016.
PAD as a source of regional original income is the main driving force and motor of the
economy in a region. The average amount of district/city PAD during the period 2013 to 2019
in cluster II is 1.26 trillion rupiah with a standard deviation of 1.08 trillion rupiah. The largest
PAD during this period was in Bandung district in 2019, while the smallest PAD was in
Morowali district in 2013.
The average amount of tax collected by districts/cities in cluster II is 959.5 billion
rupiah per year with a standard deviation of 842.16 billion. The largest amount of taxes
collected during the 2013 2019 period was in Bandung district in 2019, while the smallest
was in Morowali district in 2014. In terms of expenditure, the city of Surabaya is the city that
has the largest direct expenditure in cluster II, which is 6.99 trillion rupiah in 2019, while the
smallest was Morowali district in 2014. During the 2013-2019 period the average district/city
direct expenditure in cluster II was 1.7 trillion rupiah with a standard deviation of 1.09 trillion
rupiah.
Based on the quadrant analysis in cluster II where the Y axis is the average district/city
balancing fund during the period 2013 to 2019 and the X axis is the average district/city PAD
during the period 2013 to 2019. Quadrant I is the quadrant for districts with equal balance funds.
high but low PAD funds. Only the city of Palembang is included in quadrant I. Furthermore,
quadrant II is the division of territory for districts/cities that have high balancing funds and high
PAD funds. Several regencies/cities that are included in quadrant II are Tangerang Regency,
Bekasi City, and Surabaya City. The city of Surabaya has the largest average PAD compared
to other districts/cities in cluster II.
Quadrant III is an area for districts/cities that have PAD and balancing funds that are
smaller than the average balancing funds and PAD for districts/cities in cluster II. Some areas
that fall into cluster II are Morowali district, Cirebon city, and Denpasar city. While quadrant
Analisis Deskriptif Dana Perimbangan, PAD, dan Pertumbuhan PDRB
Tahun 2013-2019 di Kluster II
No.
Indikator
Dana
Perimbangan
PAD
Pertumbuhan
PDRB
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
1
Rata-Rata
1,295,126,479,120
1,264,011,791,837
6.90
2
Standar deviasi
530,727,465,332
1,084,479,360,675
5.22
3
Nilai
Maksimum
2,802,754,414,240
6,791,520,731,810
67.82
4
Nilai Minimum
104,832,631,500
36,673,796,750
0.09
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Analisis Deskriptif Pajak, Retribusi, Belanja Langsung, dan Belanja Tidak Langsung
Tahun 2013-2019 di Kluster II
No.
Indikator
Pajak
Retribusi
Belanja Langsung
Belanja Tidak
Langsung
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
1
Rata-Rata
959,509,762,673
87,480,057,277
1,703,674,379,480
1,426,347,143,806
2
Standar
deviasi
842,162,040,655
76,257,076,254
1,094,899,702,696
666,787,297,370
3
Nilai
Maksimum
4,217,319,393,186
557,966,574,670
6,993,376,613,816
3,407,308,688,191
4
Nilai
Minimum
5,478,277,179
10,925,787,599
215,955,286,716
258,188,282,984
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 784
IV is a district/city that has a large PAD, but has a small balancing fund. Several counties. Cities
that fall into quadrant IV are Badung Regency and South Tangerang City.
The regencies/cities in cluster III that generate the largest taxes are Deli Serdang
Regency in 2019, which is 4.2 trillion, while the smallest is Padang Panjang City in 2013. The
average amount of taxes obtained by regencies/cities in cluster III is 959, 5 billion rupiah per
year with a standard deviation of 842.16 billion rupiah. For direct expenditures, Bandung
district in 2019 had the largest direct expenditure which reached 6.99 trillion rupiah, while the
smallest was Padang Panjang city in 2013. The average value of direct spending made by
districts/cities in cluster III was 1.7 trillion rupiah per year..
Quadrant I is an area for regencies/cities that have high balancing funds and low PAD.
One of the regencies/cities in quadrant I is West Lombok regency. Next is quadrant II, where
there is the city of Pekanbaru and the city of Padang in it. Quadrant II is an area with large PAD
and large balancing funds. Quadrant III is an area where PAD and balancing funds are relatively
small compared to the average for all districts/cities in cluster III. Some of these cities/districts
are the city of Salatiga and the city of Kediri. Finally, districts/cities in quadrant IV are
districts/cities that have large PAD, but small balancing funds. The regencies/cities that fall into
quadrant IV are Karimun regencies and the city of Pontianak.
4. Overview of Financial Independence in Regencies/Cities in Cluster IV Period 2013-2020
There are 292 regencies/cities in cluster IV, of which regencies/cities classified into
cluster IV are regencies/cities that have a proportion of PAD to balancing funds of less than 25
percent.
The average amount of balancing funds received by districts/cities in cluster III is 1.18
trillion with a standard deviation of 2.1 trillion. The largest balancing fund amount was 71.5
trillion rupiah, namely Tanggamus district in 2013, while the smallest amounted to 100 billion
was in Landak district in 2017. For PAD funds, the average district/city in cluster III was 97.5
billion rupiah with standard deviation of 88.23 billion. The largest PAD generated, which
amounted to 643 billion in Pasuruan district in 2019, while the smallest was in South Buru
district in 2013.
Analisis Deskriptif Pajak, Retribusi, Belanja Langsung, dan Belanja Tidak Langsung
Tahun 2013-2019 di Kluster III
No
.
Indikator
Pajak
Retribusi
Belanja Langsung
Belanja Tidak
Langsung
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
1
Rata-Rata
959,509,762,673
87,480,057,277
1,703,674,379,480
1,426,347,143,806
2
Standar deviasi
842,162,040,655
76,257,076,254
1,094,899,702,696
666,787,297,370
3
Nilai
Maksimum
4,217,319,393,186
557,966,574,670
6,993,376,613,816
3,407,308,688,191
4
Nilai Minimum
5,478,277,179
10,925,787,599
215,955,286,716
258,188,282,984
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Analisis Kuadran di Kluster III
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Eduvest Journal of Universal Studies
Volume 2 Number 4, April 2022
785 http://eduvest.greenvest.co.id
3. Overview of Financial Independence in Regencies/Cities in Cluster III 2013-2020
Period
Districts/cities classified into cluster III are districts/cities that have a proportion of
PAD compared to the Balancing Fund between 25 percent 50 percent. In cluster III there are
53 districts/cities. The average amount of balancing funds received by districts/cities in cluster
III is 1.26 trillion rupiah with a standard deviation of 1.23 trillion rupiah. Meanwhile, the
average PAD generated by districts/cities in cluster III is 291.93 billion rupiahs with a standard
deviation of 188.37 billion rupiahs. Another indicator is GRDP growth, where the average
GRDP growth for districts/cities in cluster III is 5.56 percent with a standard deviation of 1.12
percent.
The largest balancing fund in cluster III of 9.7 trillion was in Buleleng district in 2015,
while the smallest was in Pontianak City in 2016. For PAD funds generated during the period
2013 to 2019, Pekanbaru City was the city with the largest PAD in cluster II in in 2016, while
the smallest was North Lombok Regency in 2013.
Analisis Kuadran Dana Perimbangan dan PAD Kabupaten/Kota di Kluster II
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Analisis Deskriptif Dana Perimbangan, PAD, dan Pertumbuhan PDRB
Tahun 2013-2019 di Kluster III
No.
Indikator
Dana Perimbangan
PAD
Pertumbuhan
PDRB
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
1
Rata-Rata
1,262,950,445,970.32
291,936,813,464.31
5.56
2
Standar deviasi
1,230,397,365,354.28
188,373,365,755.51
1.12
3
Nilai Maksimum
9,770,182,860,000.00
1,243,438,534,336.00
9.30
4
Nilai Minimum
102,243,025,535.00
35,285,969,506.00
-0.86
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Analisis Deskriptif Dana Perimbangan, PAD, dan Pertumbuhan PDRB
Tahun 2013-2019 di Kluster IV
No.
Indikator
Dana Perimbangan
PAD
Pertumbuhan
PDRB
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
1
Rata-Rata
1,186,221,913,009.08
97,504,884,344.94
5.46
2
Standar deviasi
2,104,071,966,592.22
88,231,996,091.18
2.11
3
Nilai Maksimum
71,567,021,624,736.00
643,350,343,365.00
38.22
4
Nilai Minimum
100,235,786,200.00
1,490,176,000.00
-9.66
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 786
In addition to the indicators of balancing funds, PAD, and economic growth, there are
other indicators in measuring the financial independence of a region, namely the value of taxes,
user charges, direct spending, and indirect spending. The average amount of tax generated is
31.16 billion rupiah with a standard deviation of 41.73 billion. The largest amount of tax
generated was 383.74 billion rupiah, namely Pasuruan district in 2017, while the district/city
that had the smallest tax was Merangin district in 2016. From the expenditure side, it can be
seen that the average amount of direct expenditure of districts/cities in clusters IV is 552.77
billion rupiah with a standard deviation of 325.81 billion. The largest direct expenditure value
of 4.5 trillion was in the Kutai Kartanegara district in 2013, while the smallest direct
expenditure was in the Buru district in 2013.
The division of quadrants in regencies/cities in cluster IV is based on the average value
of balancing funds and PAD. Quadrant I is an area with high balancing funds but relatively
small PAD generated. There are several regencies/cities in cluster I, namely Sanggau Regency
and Balangan Regency. While quadrant II is a district/city that has a high balance of funds and
PAD, some districts/cities in quadrant II are Kutai Kartanegara Regency and Brebes Regency.
Furthermore, regencies/cities in quadrant III are regencies/cities that have balancing
funds and relatively small PAD. Several districts/cities in quadrant III are Samosir district and
Pariaman city. Quadrant IV is a district/city with relatively large PAD funds and small
balancing funds, some of which are Humbang Hasundutan Regency and Binjai City.
5. Panel Data Regression Analysis and Model Interpretation per Cluster
In conducting the analysis, the panel data regression and interpretation of the resulting
model went through several test stages. The panel data regression model consists of 3, namely
the common effect model, the fixed effect model, and the random effect model. In determining
the best model, it is necessary to do some statistical tests on the regression models that are
formed.
Analisis Deskriptif Pajak, Retribusi, Belanja Langsung, dan Belanja Tidak Langsung
Tahun 2013-2019 di Kluster IV
No.
Indikator
Pajak
Retribusi
Belanja Langsung
Belanja Tidak
Langsung
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
1
Rata-Rata
31,164,127,774.83
11,519,956,880.68
552,775,756,782.80
694,907,752,579.50
2
Standar deviasi
41,735,964,478.43
12,216,031,655.96
325,817,763,832.60
402,016,621,736.01
3
Nilai Maksimum
383,743,763,642.93
162,923,495,725.00
4,539,531,892,452.00
2,843,063,170,398.20
4
Nilai Minimum
184,700,111.00
175,625,100.00
94,772,518,311.00
91,740,905,568.00
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Analisis Kuadran di Kluster IV
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Eduvest Journal of Universal Studies
Volume 2 Number 4, April 2022
787 http://eduvest.greenvest.co.id
In Cluster I, the first test is to choose the best model between the common effect model
and the fixed effect model using the Chow test. The hypothesis is as follows:
H0 : 1 = 2 = . . . = i = (common effect model)
H1 : i j (fixed effect model)
Where is the resulting residual. Based on the chow test, the following results were
obtained:
Prob value. The p-value of the test in cross-section F and cross-section chi square of
0.00 gives the decision that H0 is rejected, so it is concluded that the fixed effect model is the
best model. Furthermore, testing is carried out through the Hausman test to choose the best
model between the fixed effect model and the common effect model.
The hypothesis in the Hausman test is as follows:
H0 : E(uit | Xit ) = 0 (random effect model)
H1 : E(uit |Xit ) 0 (fixed effect model)
Hausman test results are displayed as follows:
The p-value of the Hausman test is 0.00, this indicates that the decision is to reject H0,
so it can be concluded that the best model is the fixed effect model. Based on the results of the
Chow test and Hausman test, the best model is the fixed effect model.
After selecting the fixed effect model as the model that will estimate the parameters.
The next step is to test the classical assumptions to ensure that the resulting estimate is BLUE
(Best Linear Unbiased Estimator).
The p-value of the Hausman test is 0.00, this indicates that the decision is to reject H0,
so it can be concluded that the best model is the fixed effect model. Based on the results of the
Chow test and Hausman test, the best model is the fixed effect model. After selecting the fixed
effect model as the model that will estimate the parameters. Next is to test the classical
assumptions to ensure that the resulting estimate is BLUE (Best Linear Unbiased Estimator)
which includes normality test and multicollinearity test.
The estimation method in the fixed effect model uses the Generalized Least Square
(GLS) method. The use of the GLS method causes the resulting model to be robust to the
problems of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation. The first test is to test the normality of the
resulting residuals. The results of the normality test using the jarque fallow test show a p-value
of 0.032. This value indicates that at a significance level of 10 percent, the resulting residuals
are normally distributed. The test results are as shown in the following table:
Tabel Hasil Uji Chow pada Kluster 1
Effects Test
Statistic
d.f.
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Cross-section F
11,55386721
(46,276)
0.00
Cross-section Chi-
square
353,1863725
46
0.00
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Tabel Hasil Uji Hausman pada Kluster 1
Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f.
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Cross-section
random
32.85056741
6
0.00
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Uji Normalitas pada Kluster 1
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 788
Next is to do multicollinearity testing. The test results show that the VIF value for each
independent variable is less than 5, so it can be concluded that the model is free from
multicollinearity violations.
Panel Data Regression Model Interpretation in Cluster I
In Cluster 1, the fixed effect model is the model chosen to estimate the population. The
classical assumptions have also been met, so the next step is to interpret the results in the panel
data regression model. The results of the panel data regression model can be seen in the table
as follows:
The results of panel regression analysis on data in cluster 1 show that the variables of
direct expenditure, indirect expenditure, taxes and levies as well as balancing funds have a
positive and significant influence on the regional original income variable with a significance
level of 10%. Meanwhile the regional economic growth variable does not have a significant
effect on regional independence which is proxied by the regional original income growth
variable. The results of the panel data regression analysis conclude that the variables of direct
expenditure, indirect expenditure, taxes, levies and balancing funds have a positive and
significant influence on increasing regional financial independence for districts/cities located
in Cluster I.
The effect of the provision of positive balancing funds on regional financial
independence as proxied by regional original growth indicates that the provision of balancing
funds actually has a positive impact on regional financial independence even though the
coefficient is relatively small. The results of this study are in line with research conducted by
several previous studies, including Sulistyo (2017) who conducted research on the effect of
balancing funds on financial independence. The results of the study found that the provision of
balancing funds had a positive and significant effect on increasing regional financial
independence.
In Cluster II, the first test in choosing the best model in panel data regression is to
perform the Chow test to choose between the common effect model and the fixed effect model.
The following is the hypothesis in the Chow test
H0 : 1 = 2 = . . . = i = (common effect model)
H1 : i j (fixed effect model)
Hasil Uji Multikolinearitas pada Kluster 1
Coefficient
Centered
Variable
Variance
VIF
(1)
(2)
(3)
C
3.510741862
LOG(BL)
0.002697325
2.029957162
LOG(BTL)
0.005149733
1.787063299
LOG(DAPER)
0.001015084
1.07552948
LOG(PAJAK)
0.001372237
2.047077856
PDRB
5.26E-05
1.050277013
LOG(RETRIBUSI)
0.000431242
1.084637505
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Model Regresi Data Panel di Kluster 1
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
C
-19.470
1.874
-10.391
0.000
LOG(BL)
0.500
0.052
9.635
0.000
LOG(BTL)
0.886
0.072
12.346
0.000
LOG(DAPER)
0.058
0.032
1.833
0.068
LOG(PAJAK)
0.188
0.037
5.063
0.000
PDRB
0.005
0.007
0.698
0.486
LOG(RETRIBUSI)
0.035
0.021
1.697
0.091
Uji F
244.038
Prob. Uji F
0.000
R-Squared
0.979
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Eduvest Journal of Universal Studies
Volume 2 Number 4, April 2022
789 http://eduvest.greenvest.co.id
Where is the resulting residual. Based on the chow test, the following results were
obtained:
Prob value. the p-value of the test in cross-section F and cross-section Chi-square is
0.00. The p-value which is less than 5 percent alpha indicates that at the 5 percent significance
level, the resulting decision is to reject H0 so that it can be concluded that the fixed effect model
is the best model. Next, perform a test to choose between the fixed effect model and the random
effect model through the Hausman test. The hypothesis in the Hausman test is as follows:
H0 : E(uit | Xit ) = 0 (random effect model)
H1 : E(uit |Xit ) 0 (fixed effect model)
Hausman test results are displayed as follows:
The p-value of the Hausman test is 0.00, this indicates that the decision is to reject H0,
so it can be concluded that the best model is the fixed effect model. Based on the results of the
Chow test and Hausman test, the best model is the fixed effect model. After selecting the fixed
effect model as the model that will estimate the parameters. Next is to test the classical
assumptions to ensure that the resulting estimate is BLUE (Best Linear Unbiased Estimator)
which includes normality test and multicollinearity test.
The estimation method in the fixed effect model uses the Generalized Least Square
(GLS) method. The use of the GLS method causes the resulting model to be robust to the
problems of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation. The first test is to test the normality of the
resulting residuals. The results of the normality test using the fallow jarque test showed a p-
value of 0.49. This value indicates that at a significance level of 0.05, the resulting residuals are
normally distributed. The test results are as follows:
The next step is to perform multicollinearity testing to ensure that the independent
variables have no relationship or are independent. The multicollinearity test results show that
all variables have a VIF value of less than 5, so the multicollinearity assumption is met.
Interpretation of Harvest Data Regression Model in Cluster II
Hasil Uji Chow pada Kluster 2
Effects Test
Statistic
d.f.
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Cross-section F
11.73645867
(22,132)
0.00
Cross-section Chi-
square
174.5019211
22
0.00
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Uji Hausman pada Klaster II
Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f.
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Cross-section
random
105.461270
6
0.00
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Uji Normalitas pada Kluster II
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Uji Multikolinearitas pada Kluster II
Coefficient
Centered
Variable
Variance
VIF
(1)
(2)
(3)
C
3.2264617
LOG(BL)
0.0019274
2.859731544
LOG(BTL)
0.0048470
1.833430785
LOG(DAPER)
0.0019739
1.592257329
LOG(PAJAK)
0.0031565
4.513246917
PDRB
0.0000599
1.073575578
LOG(RETRIBUSI)
0.0009212
1.057615318
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 790
After selecting the best model, the fixed effect model was chosen as the best model
using the GLS (Generalized Least Square) estimation method. From the model obtained, it is
known that the coefficient of determination (R2) is 0.9869, meaning that all independent
variables in the model are able to explain the dependent variable by 98.69 percent. The F test
(Simultaneous Test) to determine whether the model is suitable or not indicates that the
resulting model is suitable, this is based on the p-value of the F test of 0.00 which is smaller
than the 5 percent alpha value.
Based on the selected fixed effect model, there are 3 variables that do not have a
significant effect on PAD growth, namely the growth of balancing funds, GRDP growth and
retribution growth. Meanwhile, the variables of direct expenditure growth, indirect expenditure
growth, and tax growth have a significant effect on PAD growth at a significance level of 5
percent.
If there is an increase in direct expenditure growth of 1 percent, it will cause an increase
in PAD growth of 0.116 percent. In cluster 2, the biggest cause of the increase in financial
independence (growth in PAD) is the significant tax growth. If there is an increase in tax growth
of 1 percent, it will increase PAD growth by 1.029 percent. These results indicate that the
variables that affect the growth of district/city PAD in Cluster II are influenced by the growth
of the direct expenditure variables, indirect spending and tax growth.
The results of panel regression analysis which show that the growth of balancing funds
do not significantly affect the growth of PAD is in line with research conducted by Stone (2015)
which examines the effect of balancing funds on the financial condition of the government. The
results of the study found that the provision of balancing funds or fiscal decentralization had no
effect on increasing government finances (Stone, 2015). The provision of insignificant
balancing funds encourages PAD, this is also in line with research conducted by Budianto and
Alexander in 2016 (Budianto & Sos, 2016).
In Cluster III, the first test in choosing the best model in panel data regression is to
perform the Chow test to choose between the common effect model and the fixed effect model.
The following is the hypothesis in the Chow test
H0 : 1 = 2 = . . . = i = (common effect model)
H1 : i j (fixed effect model)
Where is the resulting residual. Based on the chow test, the following results were
obtained:
Prob value. the p-value of the test in cross-section F and cross-section Chi-square is
0.00. The p-value which is less than 5 percent alpha indicates that at the 5 percent significance
level, the resulting decision is to reject H0 so that it can be concluded that the fixed effect model
is the best model. Next, perform a test to choose between the fixed effect model and the random
effect model through the Hausman test. The hypothesis in the Hausman test is as follows:
H0 : E(uit | Xit ) = 0 (random effect model)
H1 : E(uit |Xit ) 0 (fixed effect model)
Model Regresi Data Panel pada Kluster II
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
C
-8.965
1.796
-4.991
0.000
LOG(BL)
0.116
0.044
2.653
0.009
LOG(BTL)
0.212
0.070
3.050
0.003
LOG(DAPER)
-0.030
0.044
-0.674
0.502
LOG(PAJAK)
1.029
0.056
18.313
0.000
PDRB
-0.004
0.008
-0.530
0.597
LOG(RETRIBUSI)
0.010
0.030
0.345
0.730
Uji F
355.294
Prob. Uji F
0.000
R-Squared
0.9869
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Tabel Hasil Uji Chow pada Kluster III
Effects Test
Statistic
d.f.
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Cross-section F
122.698732
(52,312)
0.00
Cross-section Chi-
square
421.714305
52
0.00
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Eduvest Journal of Universal Studies
Volume 2 Number 4, April 2022
791 http://eduvest.greenvest.co.id
Hausman test results are displayed as follows:
The p-value of the Hausman test is 0.00, less than 5 percent, this indicates that the
decision is to reject H0, so it can be concluded that the best model is the fixed effect model.
Based on the results of the Chow test and Hausman test, the best model is the fixed effect model.
After selecting the fixed effect model as the model that will estimate the parameters. Next is to
test the classical assumptions to ensure that the resulting estimate is BLUE (Best Linear
Unbiased Estimator) which includes normality test and multicollinearity test.
The estimation method in the fixed effect model uses the Generalized Least Square
(GLS) method. The use of the GLS method causes the resulting model to be robust to the
problems of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation. The first test is to test the normality of the
resulting residuals. The results of the normality test using the fallow jarque show that the
resulting residuals are normally distributed at a significance level of 10 percent, where the
resulting p-value is 0.0106.
The estimation method used in the fixed effect model is Generalized Least Square
(GLS) which is robust against heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation problems, so that the
classical assumption tests carried out are normality tests and multicollinearity tests. The
following are the results of the multicollinearity test on the independent variables in cluster III.
All independent variables in the research model have a VIF value of less than 5, so it
can be concluded that there is no relationship between independent variables in the model, so
the non-multicollinearity assumption is fulfilled for the panel data regression model in cluster
III.
IInterpretation of Panel Data Regression Model in Cluster III
To ensure that the selected model is a suitable model or fit, it is necessary to carry out
simultaneous testing (F test) in the selected model. The magnitude of the F test is 159,405 with
a p-value of 0.00. The p-value of less than 5 percent indicates that at the 5 percent significance
Tabel Uji Hausman pada Kluster III
Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f.
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Cross-section
random
81.767680
6
0.00
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Tabel Hasil Uji Normalitas di Kluster III
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Tabel Uji Multikolinearitas pada Kluster III
Coefficient
Centered
Variable
Variance
VIF
(1)
(2)
(3)
C
2.319944
LOG(BL)
0.001171
3.599559
LOG(BTL)
0.002838
1.536114
LOG(DAPER)
0.000333
1.112213
LOG(PAJAK)
0.00128
3.972653
PDRB
7.41E-05
1.0931
LOG(RETRIBUSI)
0.000701
1.024803
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 792
level, the resulting regression model is fit. The value of the coefficient of determination
(R2) of 0.9673 indicates that all independent variables in the model are able to explain the
diversity of the dependent variable by 96.73 percent.
In cluster III, all independent variables have a significant effect on the dependent
variable (PAD growth) at a significance level of 5 percent. If there is a 1 percent increase in all
independent variables in the model, then the largest increase in PAD growth is caused by tax
growth, namely increasing PAD growth by 0.716 percent.
However, there are 3 variables that have a negative impact on the growth of PAD as a
proxy for financial independence, namely the growth of balancing funds, GRDP growth, and
retribution growth. If there is an increase of 1 percent in each of these independent variables, it
will cause a decrease in PAD growth in districts/cities that fall into cluster III.
The sign of the coefficient of the effect of balancing funds on regional financial
independence as a proxy for negative PAD growth indicates that the provision of balancing
funds actually has an impact on decreasing regional financial independence. In other words, the
provision of balancing funds encourages dependence on districts/cities in Cluster III. This is in
line with the research conducted by Said (2019), the results of this study indicate that the
provision of balancing funds has an impact on the dependence of local governments on
balancing funds from the central government.
Furthermore, Arbani (2020) emphasized that every year the provision of balancing
funds to regional governments should provide assistance so that regions with shortages can be
helped. However, this actually has a negative impact, namely the dependence of the region on
balancing funds in meeting regional revenues. This actually has the effect of deviating from the
original goal of providing balancing funds so that local governments can be financially
independent. The high degree of centralization in the taxation sector, and very low taxes
received by the regions as well as the lack of role for regionally-owned enterprises have made
the regions highly dependent on fiscal transfer funds from the central government every year.
In Cluster IV, the first test in choosing the best model in panel data regression is to
perform the Chow test to choose between the common effect model and the fixed effect model.
The following is the hypothesis in the Chow test
H0 : 1 = 2 = . . . = i = (common effect model)
H1 : i j (fixed effect model)
Where is the resulting residual. Based on the chow test, the following results were
obtained:
Prob value. the p-value of the test in cross-section F and cross-section Chi-square is
0.00. The p-value which is less than 5 percent alpha indicates that at the 5 percent significance
level, the resulting decision is to reject H0 so that it can be concluded that the fixed effect model
Model Regresi Data Panel pada Kluster III
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
C
-7.189
1.523
-4.720
0.000
LOG(BL)
0.301
0.034
8.791
0.000
LOG(BTL)
0.360
0.053
6.758
0.000
LOG(DAPER)
-0.038
0.018
-2.070
0.039
LOG(PAJAK)
0.716
0.036
20.017
0.000
PDRB
-0.019
0.009
-2.211
0.028
LOG(RETRIBUSI)
-0.070
0.026
-2.628
0.009
Uji F
159.405
Prob. Uji F
0.000
R-Squared
0.9673
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Tabel Hasil Uji Chow pada Kluster IV
Effects Test
Statistic
d.f.
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Cross-section F
7.972643
(291,1746)
0.00
Cross-section Chi-
square
1727.878752
291
0.00
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Eduvest Journal of Universal Studies
Volume 2 Number 4, April 2022
793 http://eduvest.greenvest.co.id
is the best model. Next, perform a test to choose between the fixed effect model and the random
effect model through the Hausman test. The hypothesis in the Hausman test is as follows:
H0 : E(uit | Xit ) = 0 (random effect model)
H1 : E(uit |Xit ) 0 (fixed effect model)
Hausman test results are displayed as follows:
The p-value of the Hausman test is 0.00, less than 5 percent, this indicates that the
decision is to reject H0, so it can be concluded that the best model is the fixed effect model.
Based on the results of the Chow test and Hausman test, the best model is the fixed effect model.
After selecting the fixed effect model as the model that will estimate the parameters. Next is to
test the classical assumptions to ensure that the resulting estimate is BLUE (Best Linear
Unbiased Estimator) which includes normality test and multicollinearity test.
The estimation method in the fixed effect model uses the Generalized Least Square
(GLS) method. The use of the GLS method causes the resulting model to be robust against
heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation problems. The first test is to test the normality of the
resulting residuals.
Normality test
The central limit theorem states that the sampling distribution curve for a sample size
of 30 or more will have all the properties of a normal distribution. Based on the explanation in
the theorem, the number of samples in cluster IV is 292 samples. Therefore, it can be said that
the number of samples in cluster IV has met the requirements to meet the normality test.
Multicollinearity Test
The assumption of non-multicollinearity is one of the assumptions that requires that
there is no relationship between independent variables in the research model. The measurement
method is through comparison of the obtained VIF values. If the VIF value is less than 5, it can
be said that there is no relationship between the independent variables in the model so that the
multicollinearity assumption is met. The VIF value in table 23, shows that all VIF values for
the independent variables in the model are less than 5, so it can be concluded that there is no
multicollinearity in the research model.
In estimating the parameters in the research model, it is necessary to do an F test to
find out whether the resulting model is suitable or not. The F test value of 237,132 with a p-
value of 0.00 decided to reject H0 thus concluding that the resulting regression model was
appropriate. The R2 value of 0.9758 indicates that all independent variables in the model are
able to explain the diversity of the dependent variable by 97.58 percent.
Tabel Uji Hausman pada Kluster IV
Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f.
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Cross-section
random
72.512756
6
0.00
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Tabel Uji Multikolinearitas pada Kluster IV
Coefficient
Centered
Variable
Variance
VIF
(1)
(2)
(3)
C
0.473688
LOG(BL)
0.000303
2.519807
LOG(BTL)
0.000816
2.590688
LOG(DAPER)
7.54E-05
1.053739
LOG(PAJAK)
0.000153
2.896851
PDRB
5.04E-06
1.043912
LOG(RETRIBUSI)
5.85E-05
1.088574
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 794
The levy growth variable has no significant effect at the 5 percent significance level,
while other variables such as direct spending growth, indirect spending growth, balancing fund
growth, and tax growth have a significant effect on PAD growth at a 5 percent significance
level. If there is a 1 percent increase in direct growth, it will have an impact on an increase in
PAD by 0.749 percent. The direct expenditure growth variable is the variable that has the
greatest influence on the increase in PAD growth. In cluster IV, the growth of the balancing
fund has a positive and significant effect on the growth of PAD, namely if there is a 1 percent
increase in the balancing fund, it will cause a 0.028 percent increase in the growth of PAD.
The results of this study found that the effect of balancing funds on regional financial
independence as a proxy for PAD growth was positive and significant for districts/cities in
cluster IV. This means that every time there is an increase in the distribution of balancing funds,
it can increase regional financial independence. The results of this study are in line with research
conducted by several previous studies such as Falurida and Pratiwi (2017), Simanjuntak and
Mukhlis (2016) and Suprantiningrum (2015) which state that the provision of balancing funds
encourages regional financial independence.
Other variables that determine or affect regional financial independence based on panel
data regression analysis for clusters I, II, III and IV are direct and indirect expenditure variables.
Based on this, the management of district/city government expenditures in all data clusters must
be directed to quality direct and indirect expenditures. Changes in the pattern of APBD
management that are more rational and lead to productive investment can encourage regional
financial independence and increase economic growth.
Comparative Analysis of Financial Independence between Clusters
The fiscal decentralization policy aims to minimize the fiscal gap and achieve equity
among regencies/cities in Indonesia. During the implementation of the decentralization policy,
inequality between districts/cities still persists. This problem is caused by the low source of
district/city revenue for other areas. This happens in areas that do not have a massive economic
center. The analysis of the effect of balancing funds on regional financial independence cannot
be carried out simultaneously for all districts/cities. Therefore, it is necessary to divide each
district/city in each cluster based on certain criteria, namely cluster I for areas receiving
additional funds other than balancing funds, cluster II for areas with a ratio of PAD to balancing
funds of more than 50%, cluster III for areas with the ratio of PAD to balancing funds is 25%-
50%, and cluster IV is for areas with a ratio of PAD to balancing funds less than 25%.
The research model produced in each cluster gives different results in determining the
factors that affect regional financial independence. The factors that encourage regional
independence in cluster 1 are direct spending, indirect spending, taxes and levies and balancing
funds. Direct and indirect spending is one of the government's responsibilities in regional
autonomy. The effect of direct and indirect spending on financial independence, which is
positive and significant, indicates that district/city spending priorities in cluster 1 are oriented
towards the development of facilities and infrastructure so as to increase PAD as a proxy for
regional independence. Local revenue in the form of taxes and levies has a positive impact on
regional independence. This indicates that districts/cities located in cluster 1 have fiscal
capacity that is able to support their regional needs, so that central government transfer funds
Tabel Model Regresi Data Panel pada Kluster IV
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
C
-13.815
0.688
-20.073
0.000
LOG(BL)
0.401
0.017
23.014
0.000
LOG(BTL)
0.749
0.029
26.220
0.000
LOG(DAPER)
0.028
0.009
3.257
0.001
LOG(PAJAK)
0.303
0.012
24.523
0.000
PDRB
-0.009
0.002
-4.195
0.000
LOG(RETRIBUSI)
-0.009
0.008
-1.230
0.219
Uji F
237.132
Prob. Uji F
0.000
R-Squared
0.9758
Sumber: Data Diolah (2020).
Eduvest Journal of Universal Studies
Volume 2 Number 4, April 2022
795 http://eduvest.greenvest.co.id
can be allocated to other regions that do not have district/city revenue potential.
Meanwhile in cluster II, the factors that influence regional financial independence are
direct expenditures, indirect expenditures, and taxes. Cluster II is a district/city that has a ratio
of PAD to balancing funds of more than 50%. Tax revenue is the main source of income in
realizing development in the region, so that positive tax growth will increase regional
independence in the cluster.
The factors that influence financial independence in clusters III and IV are the same,
namely direct spending, indirect spending, balancing funds, taxes, GRDP, and user fees.
Regencies/cities located in clusters III and IV have something in common, namely the ratio of
PAD to balancing funds which is less than 50%. Regencies/cities in cluster III and IV areas
must increase regional revenues through taxes and levies. In addition, an increase in regional
spending, both directly and indirectly, can also stimulate the pace of the economy which has an
impact on increasing regional income, thereby increasing the independence of the region.
The difference in the results found in each cluster is due to the different sources of
regional revenue in each cluster. For clusters with regions with relatively high PAD, the
provision of balancing funds does not affect financial independence, so they can be relocated
to regions with low PAD, thereby spurring financial independence in the region. The results of
this study are in line with research conducted by the Ministry of Finance Assistance Team for
Fiscal Decentralization in 2012, which found that there is a need for reformulation of balancing
funds to local governments. Local governments with large fiscal potential but small fiscal needs
will receive relatively small balancing funds. On the other hand, local governments with small
fiscal potential but large fiscal needs will receive relatively large balancing funds.
From the four clusters that have been formed in this study, it can be seen that the factors
that influence financial independence are direct spending, indirect spending, and taxes. The
increase in these three variables can be a stimulus in increasing regional financial independence.
Improving the quality of local government spending, both direct and indirect, can encourage
local government economic growth which can stimulate an increase in regional income. The
increase in regional income can ultimately encourage regional financial independence.
CONCLUSION
The regional autonomy policy, which is accompanied by the provision of balancing
funds, has a goal, one of which is to have an impact on the financial independence of
regency/municipal governments in Indonesia. The results of this study found that the factors
that significantly affect financial independence in Clusters I, III and IV are direct spending,
indirect spending, taxes and balancing funds. Factors that affect financial independence in
Cluster II are almost the same as in Clusters I, III, and IV, namely direct spending, indirect
spending, and taxes. However, for district/city governments in cluster II, the balancing fund
variable does not significantly affect regional financial independence.
The results of panel regression analysis on each research data cluster for districts/cities
show differences in the effect of balancing funds on regional financial independence. Based on
this, the policy strategy that must be issued is to reformulate the calculation of balancing funds
given to local governments. At the same time, local governments must carry out a policy
strategy for relocating local government spending to productive expenditures in the regional
government budget.
Based on the results of this study, the central government together with the House of
Representatives of the Republic of Indonesia (DPR RI) need to sit down together to have serious
talks related to the reformulation of the calculation of the balancing fund. The reformulation of
the calculation of the balancing fund is intended so that the role of the balancing fund as an
equalization grant can play a more significant role in increasing regional financial
independence.
Furthermore, district/city governments in all clusters need to formulate and allocate
direct and indirect expenditures in the APBD. Expenditure relocation, either directly or
Vissia Dewi Haptari, Ari Mulianta Ginting, Ferdinand David Aritonang
Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Financial Independence in the Framework of A
Policy Strategy for Increasing Regional Original Income 796
indirectly, must be directed to expenditures that are productive in nature in order to create an
increase in the economy which in turn can spur increased regional financial independence in
each district/city in all clusters.
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